The 2025 FOMC voting committee and Kansas Federal Reserve President Schmid will deliver a speech on the economic outlook in ten minutes.
The 2026 FOMC voting committee and Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Kashkari will participate in a chamber of commerce talk in ten minutes.
2026年FOMC票委、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利将于十分钟后参加一个商会的谈话。
According to CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 89.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 10.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 31.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 61.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 6.7%.
据CME“美联储观察”:美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为89.7%,累计降息25个基点的概率为10.3%,累计降息50个基点的概率为0%。美联储9月维持利率不变的概率为31.7%,累计降息25个基点的概率为61.7%,累计降息50个基点的概率为6.7%。
Federal Reserve Chairperson Jerome Powell: There is uncertainty in the forecasts of FOMC policymakers, and this uncertainty is unusually high.
The Federal Reserve's FOMC statement: Inflation remains slightly higher. Federal Reserve FOMC economic expectations: Median core PCE inflation expectations at the end of 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.1%, 2.4%, and 2.1%, respectively. (March expectations are 2.8%, 2.2%, and 2.0%, respectively)
美联储FOMC声明:通胀仍然略高。 美联储FOMC经济预期:2025、2026、2027年底核心PCE通胀预期中值分别为3.1%、2.4%、2.1%。(3月预期分别为2.8%、2.2%、2.0%)
Mike Feroli, chief economist at JPMorgan Chase, said: For the Fed, the May jobs report was almost "tailor-made", reinforcing their current tendency to stay put and wait patiently for developments in employment and inflation to determine the future direction of policy. This made the June FOMC meeting a "non-event".
摩根大通的首席经济学家 Mike Feroli 表示:对美联储而言,5 月的就业报告几乎是“量身定做”,正好强化了他们当前的倾向——继续按兵不动,耐心等待就业和通胀的发展来决定未来的政策方向。这使得 6 月的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议变成了一场“无关紧要的事件”。
The 2025 FOMC voting committee and Chicago Federal Reserve President Goolsbee will participate in a question-and-answer session in ten minutes.
The FOMC permanent voting committee and New York Federal Reserve President Williams will deliver a speech in ten minutes.